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Has the climate in Vilnius changed?

Vilnius has warmed about 4.4°F between 1971 and 2024.

About 0.8°F per decade, measured from Vilnius's official daily weather records, 1971–2024. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Vilnius's warming is broadly in line with other cities in Lithuania — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
94 fewer nights
1970s
147 / yr
Recent
53 / yr
Milder winters — fewer frosts
Average temperature
+3.3°F
1970s
42.5°F
Recent
45.8°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
2 more days
1970s
0 / yr
Recent
2 / yr
More days of serious heat
Rainy days
84 fewer days
1970s
177 / yr
Recent
93 / yr
Drier on average

Vilnius's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1971 to 2024.

38°40°42°44°46°48°50°1971: 43.5°F1972: 43.5°F1973: 42.8°F1974: 43.5°F1975: 45.8°F1976: 40.3°F1977: 42.1°F1978: 40.8°F1979: 41.5°F1980: 40.0°F1981: 42.8°F1982: 43.1°F1983: 44.9°F1984: 43.7°F1985: 40.6°F1986: 42.7°F1987: 40.0°F1988: 43.5°F1989: 46.3°F1990: 45.9°F1991: 44.3°F1992: 45.0°F1993: 42.9°F1994: 44.0°F1995: 44.2°F1996: 41.7°F1997: 43.5°F1998: 43.7°F1999: 45.6°F2000: 46.0°F2001: 44.1°F2002: 45.3°F2003: 43.6°F2004: 43.4°F2005: 43.9°F2006: 44.5°F2007: 45.6°F2008: 46.0°F2009: 44.2°F2010: 43.4°F2011: 45.2°F2012: 43.7°F2013: 45.1°F2014: 45.9°F2015: 46.8°F2016: 45.1°F2017: 45.0°F2018: 46.3°F2019: 47.5°F2020: 47.6°F2021: 44.7°F2022: 45.6°F2023: 47.2°F2024: 48.8°Flong-term trend1971198019902000201020202024
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 39 fewer freezing nights a year compared with the 1970s.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

-0.5°0.0°+0.5°+1.0°+1.5°+2.0°+2.5°January: +2.5°F+2.5JFebruary: +1.2°F+1.2FMarch: +1.0°F+1.0MApril: +1.9°F+1.9AMay: -0.1°F-0.1MJune: +0.4°F+0.4JJuly: +2.3°F+2.3JAugust: +1.7°F+1.7ASeptember: +1.6°F+1.6SOctober: +0.4°F+0.4ONovember: +0.5°F+0.5NDecember: +0.9°F+0.9D

January has warmed the most — about 2.5°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — 1991–2020 normals computed from 19 years of daily observations at Vilnius, a weather station, about 13 km from the city centre. The underlying daily records come from NOAA's global station network.

How we build these numbers →