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Has the climate in Tôlanaro changed?

Tôlanaro has warmed about 1.3°F between 1978 and 2024.

About 0.3°F per decade, measured from Tôlanaro's official daily weather records, 1978–2024. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Tôlanaro's warming is broadly in line with other cities in Madagascar — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
about the same
1970s
0 / yr
Recent
0 / yr
Winters about as cold as before
Average temperature
+1.0°F
1970s
74.3°F
Recent
75.3°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
8 more days
1970s
23 / yr
Recent
31 / yr
More days of serious heat
Rainy days
5 more days
1970s
111 / yr
Recent
116 / yr
Wetter on average

Tôlanaro's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1978 to 2024.

72°74°76°78°1978: 75.0°F1982: 73.1°F1983: 74.9°F1985: 74.6°F1987: 74.8°F1988: 74.2°F1989: 73.5°F1993: 73.3°F1994: 73.4°F1995: 74.4°F1996: 74.8°F1997: 75.2°F1998: 75.1°F1999: 75.7°F2000: 75.9°F2001: 76.6°F2002: 75.7°F2003: 75.8°F2004: 75.7°F2005: 75.5°F2006: 76.6°F2007: 76.3°F2008: 75.5°F2009: 75.3°F2010: 75.8°F2011: 75.1°F2012: 75.2°F2013: 74.3°F2014: 75.4°F2015: 75.4°F2016: 75.3°F2017: 75.5°F2018: 75.2°F2019: 75.6°F2020: 75.0°F2021: 75.6°F2022: 75.4°F2023: 75.6°F2024: 75.8°Flong-term trend19782000201020202024
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 18 more days above 90°F compared with the 1970s.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

-1.5°-1.0°-0.5°0.0°+0.5°+1.0°+1.5°January: +0.7°F+0.7JFebruary: -0.8°F-0.8FMarch: -0.2°F-0.2MApril: -1.1°F-1.1AMay: -0.2°F-0.2MJune: -1.0°F-1.0JJuly: +1.3°F+1.3JAugust: +0.9°F+0.9ASeptember: +1.3°F+1.3SOctober: +0.5°F+0.5ONovember: -0.8°F-0.8NDecember: +0.1°F+0.1D

July has warmed the most — about 1.3°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — 1991–2020 normals computed from 26 years of daily observations at Taolagnaro, a weather station, about 3 km from the city centre. The underlying daily records come from NOAA's global station network.

How we build these numbers →