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Has the climate in Ameca changed?

Ameca has warmed about 0.6°F between 1978 and 2011.

About 0.2°F per decade, measured from Ameca's official daily weather records, 1978–2011. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Ameca's climate has warmed more slowly than most other cities in Mexico.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
1 more night
1970s
0 / yr
Recent
1 / yr
Colder winters — more frosts
Average temperature
+0.8°F
1970s
69.9°F
Recent
70.6°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
31 more days
1970s
43 / yr
Recent
74 / yr
More days of serious heat
Rainy days
about the same
1970s
74 / yr
Recent
75 / yr
Rainfall pattern about the same

Ameca's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1978 to 2011.

67°69°71°73°1978: 70.4°F1979: 70.8°F1980: 70.7°F1981: 70.2°F1982: 71.2°F1983: 69.0°F1984: 68.9°F1985: 69.2°F1986: 69.8°F1987: 68.7°F1988: 69.1°F1989: 70.8°F1990: 70.9°F1991: 70.3°F1992: 69.2°F1996: 70.6°F1997: 69.6°F1998: 70.3°F1999: 70.0°F2000: 70.2°F2001: 71.0°F2002: 71.7°F2003: 71.3°F2004: 70.2°F2005: 71.2°F2006: 71.1°F2007: 70.7°F2008: 70.2°F2009: 71.2°F2010: 69.4°F2011: 69.3°Flong-term trend197819801990200020102011
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 8 more days above 90°F compared with the 1970s.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

-1.0°-0.5°0.0°+0.5°+1.0°+1.5°+2.0°January: -0.2°F-0.2JFebruary: +0.1°F+0.1FMarch: -0.0°F-0.0MApril: +0.2°F+0.2AMay: +0.3°F+0.3MJune: +0.6°F+0.6JJuly: +1.9°F+1.9JAugust: +1.6°F+1.6ASeptember: +1.9°F+1.9SOctober: +0.4°F+0.4ONovember: -0.8°F-0.8NDecember: -0.6°F-0.6D

September has warmed the most — about 1.9°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — the official 1991–2020 climate normals from CONAGUA / SMN, Mexico's national weather service, measured at Ameca, inside the city.

How we build these numbers →