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Has the climate in Cancún changed?

Cancún has cooled about 1°F between 1991 and 2012.

About 0.5°F per decade, measured from Cancún's official daily weather records, 1991–2012. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Cancún's climate has warmed more slowly than most other cities in Mexico.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
about the same
1970s
0 / yr
Recent
0 / yr
Winters about as cold as before
Average temperature
−0.7°F
1970s
80.4°F
Recent
79.7°F
A small downward drift
Hot days above 90°F
61 more days
1970s
121 / yr
Recent
182 / yr
More days of serious heat
Rainy days
3 fewer days
1970s
107 / yr
Recent
104 / yr
Drier on average

Cancún's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1991 to 2012.

76°78°80°82°84°1991: 81.3°F1992: 80.0°F1993: 79.9°F1994: 80.7°F1995: 80.3°F1996: 79.6°F1997: 80.9°F1998: 81.2°F1999: 80.5°F2000: 80.7°F2001: 82.2°F2003: 81.6°F2004: 81.6°F2005: 81.1°F2006: 80.7°F2007: 80.6°F2008: 80.2°F2009: 80.5°F2010: 77.8°F2011: 79.2°F2012: 79.1°Flong-term trend1991200020102012
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 56 more days above 90°F compared with the 1970s.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

-1.0°-0.5°0.0°+0.5°+1.0°January: -0.8°F-0.8JFebruary: +0.1°F+0.1FMarch: +0.3°F+0.3MApril: +0.0°F+0.0AMay: +0.4°F+0.4MJune: +0.1°F+0.1JJuly: +0.3°F+0.3JAugust: +0.6°F+0.6ASeptember: +0.4°F+0.4SOctober: -0.1°F-0.1ONovember: -0.9°F-0.9NDecember: -0.4°F-0.4D

November has cooled the most — about 0.9°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — the official 1991–2020 climate normals from CONAGUA / SMN, Mexico's national weather service, measured at Cancun, about 3 km from the city centre.

How we build these numbers →