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Has the climate in Chicoloapan changed?

How Chicoloapan's climate has changed

About 0.2°F per decade, measured from Chicoloapan's official daily weather records, 1981–2008. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Chicoloapan's warming is broadly in line with other cities in Mexico — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
8 fewer nights
1970s
22 / yr
Recent
14 / yr
Milder winters — fewer frosts
Average temperature
+0.6°F
1970s
60.1°F
Recent
60.8°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
2 fewer days
1970s
2 / yr
Recent
0 / yr
Slightly fewer hot days
Rainy days
5 more days
1970s
87 / yr
Recent
92 / yr
Wetter on average

Chicoloapan's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1981 to 2008.

58°60°62°64°1981: 59.7°F1982: 60.1°F1984: 60.1°F1985: 60.6°F1986: 61.0°F1987: 59.3°F1988: 59.8°F1991: 62.3°F2002: 60.5°F2003: 61.4°F2006: 60.6°F2007: 60.6°F2008: 60.5°Flong-term trend19812008
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 8 fewer freezing nights a year compared with the 1970s.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

-4.5°-4.0°-3.5°-3.0°-2.5°-2.0°-1.5°-1.0°-0.5°0.0°+0.5°+1.0°January: -2.2°F-2.2JFebruary: -1.6°F-1.6FMarch: -1.8°F-1.8MApril: -1.0°F-1.0AMay: -1.2°F-1.2MJune: -2.2°F-2.2JJuly: -3.1°F-3.1JAugust: -3.8°F-3.8ASeptember: -4.3°F-4.3SOctober: -4.5°F-4.5ONovember: -2.6°F-2.6NDecember: -2.5°F-2.5D

October has cooled the most — about 4.5°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — the official 1991–2020 climate normals from CONAGUA / SMN, Mexico's national weather service, measured at Chapingo (dge), about 8 km from the city centre.

How we build these numbers →