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Has the climate in Ciudad Victoria changed?

Ciudad Victoria has warmed about 1.4°F between 1971 and 2020.

About 0.3°F per decade, measured from Ciudad Victoria's official daily weather records, 1971–2020. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Ciudad Victoria's warming is broadly in line with other cities in Mexico — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
about the same
1970s
0 / yr
Recent
0 / yr
Winters about as cold as before
Average temperature
+1.1°F
1970s
74.7°F
Recent
75.8°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
29 fewer days
1970s
176 / yr
Recent
147 / yr
Slightly fewer hot days
Rainy days
12 fewer days
1970s
71 / yr
Recent
59 / yr
Drier on average

Ciudad Victoria's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1971 to 2020.

70°72°74°76°78°80°1971: 75.5°F1972: 74.9°F1973: 78.8°F1974: 79.4°F1975: 76.7°F1976: 71.7°F1977: 73.4°F1978: 73.4°F1979: 73.5°F1980: 74.3°F1981: 73.6°F1982: 74.4°F1983: 74.1°F1984: 73.4°F1985: 74.0°F1986: 74.8°F1987: 73.3°F1988: 73.6°F1989: 74.0°F1990: 75.1°F1991: 74.6°F1992: 73.2°F1993: 73.8°F1994: 74.6°F1995: 75.2°F1996: 75.1°F1997: 73.9°F1998: 76.2°F1999: 75.0°F2000: 74.2°F2001: 74.1°F2002: 74.3°F2006: 74.9°F2007: 75.0°F2009: 76.7°F2010: 75.1°F2011: 76.7°F2012: 77.3°F2013: 75.0°F2014: 73.5°F2015: 74.1°F2016: 76.1°F2017: 76.3°F2018: 75.9°F2019: 78.5°F2020: 78.1°Flong-term trend197119801990200020102020
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 31 fewer days above 90°F compared with the 1970s.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

0.0°+0.5°+1.0°+1.5°+2.0°+2.5°+3.0°+3.5°+4.0°+4.5°+5.0°+5.5°+6.0°+6.5°+7.0°+7.5°+8.0°+8.5°+9.0°+9.5°January: +8.4°F+8.4JFebruary: +9.0°F+9.0FMarch: +0.4°F+0.4MApril: +0.3°F+0.3AMay: +0.3°F+0.3MJune: +0.8°F+0.8JJuly: +0.6°F+0.6JAugust: +1.0°F+1.0ASeptember: +0.6°F+0.6SOctober: +0.9°F+0.9ONovember: +0.2°F+0.2NDecember: +8.0°F+8.0D

February has warmed the most — about 9.0°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — the official 1991–2020 climate normals from CONAGUA / SMN, Mexico's national weather service, measured at Ciudad Victoria (obs), about 3 km from the city centre.

How we build these numbers →