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Has the climate in Cortazar changed?

Cortazar has warmed about 2.7°F between 1971 and 2012.

About 0.7°F per decade, measured from Cortazar's official daily weather records, 1971–2012. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Cortazar's warming is broadly in line with other cities in Mexico — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
1 fewer night
1970s
1 / yr
Recent
0 / yr
Milder winters — fewer frosts
Average temperature
+1.8°F
1970s
65.7°F
Recent
67.5°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
7 more days
1970s
18 / yr
Recent
25 / yr
More days of serious heat
Rainy days
7 fewer days
1970s
68 / yr
Recent
61 / yr
Drier on average

Cortazar's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1971 to 2012.

63°65°67°69°71°1971: 66.6°F1972: 67.8°F1973: 65.6°F1974: 64.9°F1975: 65.0°F1976: 64.8°F1977: 64.9°F1978: 64.7°F1979: 65.5°F1980: 66.2°F1981: 65.6°F1982: 67.1°F1983: 65.3°F1984: 65.7°F1985: 66.4°F1989: 64.6°F1990: 66.0°F1991: 67.2°F1992: 64.2°F1993: 67.3°F1994: 68.3°F1995: 67.7°F1996: 65.8°F1997: 66.4°F1998: 67.7°F1999: 66.9°F2000: 66.1°F2001: 65.1°F2002: 65.8°F2003: 64.7°F2004: 66.7°F2005: 69.3°F2006: 68.6°F2007: 68.5°F2008: 68.2°F2009: 70.3°F2010: 67.4°F2011: 68.8°F2012: 68.5°Flong-term trend197119801990200020102012
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 8 more days above 90°F compared with the 1970s.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

0.0°+0.5°+1.0°+1.5°+2.0°+2.5°January: +1.1°F+1.1JFebruary: +2.1°F+2.1FMarch: +1.4°F+1.4MApril: +1.2°F+1.2AMay: +0.8°F+0.8MJune: +1.0°F+1.0JJuly: +1.0°F+1.0JAugust: +1.1°F+1.1ASeptember: +0.9°F+0.9SOctober: +1.3°F+1.3ONovember: +1.3°F+1.3NDecember: +1.5°F+1.5D

February has warmed the most — about 2.1°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — the official 1991–2020 climate normals from CONAGUA / SMN, Mexico's national weather service, measured at Cortazar, inside the city.

How we build these numbers →