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Has the climate in Cozumel changed?

How Cozumel's climate has changed

About 0.5°F per decade, measured from Cozumel's official daily weather records, 1994–2012. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Cozumel's warming is broadly in line with other cities in Mexico — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
about the same
1970s
0 / yr
Recent
0 / yr
Winters about as cold as before
Average temperature
+0.5°F
1970s
80.4°F
Recent
80.9°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
56 more days
1970s
150 / yr
Recent
206 / yr
More days of serious heat
Rainy days
14 more days
1970s
102 / yr
Recent
116 / yr
Wetter on average

Cozumel's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1994 to 2012.

78°80°82°1994: 79.9°F2000: 80.4°F2001: 80.9°F2004: 80.6°F2007: 80.5°F2008: 80.3°F2009: 80.4°F2010: 79.1°F2011: 81.6°F2012: 82.0°Flong-term trend1994200020102012
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 27 more days above 90°F compared with the 1970s.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

-0.5°0.0°+0.5°+1.0°+1.5°January: +0.3°F+0.3JFebruary: +0.3°F+0.3FMarch: +0.5°F+0.5MApril: -0.1°F-0.1AMay: -0.2°F-0.2MJune: +0.3°F+0.3JJuly: -0.1°F-0.1JAugust: +1.1°F+1.1ASeptember: +0.9°F+0.9SOctober: +0.8°F+0.8ONovember: -0.4°F-0.4NDecember: +0.0°F+0.0D

August has warmed the most — about 1.1°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — 1991–2020 normals computed from 11 years of daily observations at Cozumel (dge), a weather station, inside the city. The underlying daily records come from NOAA's global station network.

How we build these numbers →