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Has the climate in Ecatepec de Morelos changed?

Ecatepec de Morelos has warmed about 3.2°F between 1971 and 2012.

About 1.0°F per decade, measured from Ecatepec de Morelos's official daily weather records, 1971–2012. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Ecatepec de Morelos's climate has warmed faster than most other cities in Mexico.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
40 fewer nights
1970s
50 / yr
Recent
10 / yr
Milder winters — fewer frosts
Average temperature
+3.2°F
1970s
58.2°F
Recent
61.4°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
32 more days
1970s
0 / yr
Recent
32 / yr
More days of serious heat
Rainy days
40 fewer days
1970s
96 / yr
Recent
56 / yr
Drier on average

Ecatepec de Morelos's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1971 to 2012.

55°57°59°61°63°65°67°69°1971: 57.6°F1972: 58.1°F1973: 58.2°F1974: 57.6°F1975: 58.2°F1976: 57.5°F1977: 57.9°F1978: 59.2°F1979: 58.2°F1980: 59.8°F1981: 59.1°F1982: 60.3°F1983: 59.5°F1984: 59.0°F1985: 59.1°F1986: 58.3°F1987: 58.7°F1997: 59.5°F1998: 59.6°F1999: 58.2°F2000: 59.4°F2001: 58.5°F2002: 59.2°F2003: 60.1°F2004: 60.4°F2005: 56.7°F2006: 57.9°F2007: 60.9°F2008: 64.9°F2009: 63.1°F2011: 63.6°F2012: 67.6°Flong-term trend1971198020002012
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 23 fewer freezing nights a year and about 19 more days above 90°F compared with the 1970s.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

0.0°+0.5°+1.0°+1.5°+2.0°+2.5°+3.0°+3.5°January: +2.5°F+2.5JFebruary: +2.3°F+2.3FMarch: +1.2°F+1.2MApril: +1.2°F+1.2AMay: +0.5°F+0.5MJune: +0.8°F+0.8JJuly: +1.3°F+1.3JAugust: +2.2°F+2.2ASeptember: +2.7°F+2.7SOctober: +3.5°F+3.5ONovember: +3.1°F+3.1NDecember: +2.1°F+2.1D

October has warmed the most — about 3.5°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — the official 1991–2020 climate normals from CONAGUA / SMN, Mexico's national weather service, measured at Atenco, about 17 km from the city centre.

How we build these numbers →