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Has the climate in Ensenada changed?

Ensenada has warmed about 4.6°F between 1971 and 1998.

About 1.7°F per decade, measured from Ensenada's official daily weather records, 1971–1998. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Ensenada's climate has warmed faster than most other cities in Mexico.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
about the same
1970s
0 / yr
Recent
0 / yr
Winters about as cold as before
Average temperature
+3.4°F
1970s
61.3°F
Recent
64.7°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
3 more days
1970s
4 / yr
Recent
7 / yr
More days of serious heat
Rainy days
about the same
1970s
40 / yr
Recent
38 / yr
Rainfall pattern about the same

Ensenada's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1971 to 1998.

57°59°61°63°65°67°1971: 62.9°F1972: 61.3°F1973: 59.9°F1974: 60.3°F1975: 58.7°F1976: 60.5°F1977: 60.6°F1978: 63.8°F1979: 63.8°F1980: 63.9°F1981: 64.0°F1982: 62.4°F1983: 63.7°F1984: 63.7°F1985: 62.4°F1986: 62.9°F1987: 63.6°F1988: 66.3°F1989: 66.6°F1990: 66.8°F1991: 63.7°F1992: 66.4°F1993: 65.5°F1994: 64.6°F1995: 63.1°F1996: 64.3°F1997: 64.8°F1998: 62.9°Flong-term trend1971198019901998
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

-0.5°0.0°+0.5°+1.0°+1.5°+2.0°+2.5°January: +1.4°F+1.4JFebruary: +0.2°F+0.2FMarch: +0.5°F+0.5MApril: -0.1°F-0.1AMay: -0.2°F-0.2MJune: +0.3°F+0.3JJuly: +2.3°F+2.3JAugust: +2.2°F+2.2ASeptember: +2.3°F+2.3SOctober: +2.2°F+2.2ONovember: +2.3°F+2.3NDecember: +1.6°F+1.6D

September has warmed the most — about 2.3°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — the official 1991–2020 climate normals from CONAGUA / SMN, Mexico's national weather service, measured at Punta Banda, about 19 km from the city centre.

How we build these numbers →