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Has the climate in Esperanza changed?

Esperanza has cooled about 0.7°F between 1995 and 2020.

About 0.3°F per decade, measured from Esperanza's official daily weather records, 1995–2020. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Esperanza's climate has warmed more slowly than most other cities in Mexico.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
about the same
1970s
0 / yr
Recent
0 / yr
Winters about as cold as before
Average temperature
−0.3°F
1970s
80.1°F
Recent
79.8°F
A small downward drift
Hot days above 90°F
21 fewer days
1970s
23 / yr
Recent
2 / yr
Slightly fewer hot days
Rainy days
5 fewer days
1970s
6 / yr
Recent
1 / yr
Drier on average

Esperanza's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1995 to 2020.

76°78°80°82°1995: 80.9°F1996: 80.6°F1997: 80.1°F1998: 78.9°F1999: 79.7°F2000: 80.3°F2001: 80.2°F2002: 80.2°F2003: 81.1°F2004: 79.7°F2005: 78.5°F2006: 78.3°F2007: 77.5°F2008: 77.8°F2009: 78.0°F2010: 77.6°F2011: 77.6°F2012: 77.9°F2013: 77.6°F2014: 80.5°F2015: 79.6°F2016: 80.6°F2017: 81.0°F2018: 79.8°F2019: 78.9°F2020: 80.8°Flong-term trend1995200020102020
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 23 fewer days above 90°F compared with the 1970s.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — the official 1991–2020 climate normals from CONAGUA / SMN, Mexico's national weather service, measured at Porfirio Diaz, about 2 km from the city centre.

How we build these numbers →