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Has the climate in Guamúchil changed?

Guamúchil has warmed about 2°F between 1971 and 2012.

About 0.5°F per decade, measured from Guamúchil's official daily weather records, 1971–2012. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Guamúchil's warming is broadly in line with other cities in Mexico — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
about the same
1970s
0 / yr
Recent
0 / yr
Winters about as cold as before
Average temperature
+1.4°F
1970s
76.1°F
Recent
77.5°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
20 more days
1970s
194 / yr
Recent
214 / yr
More days of serious heat
Rainy days
about the same
1970s
50 / yr
Recent
49 / yr
Rainfall pattern about the same

Guamúchil's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1971 to 2012.

73°75°77°79°81°1971: 75.0°F1972: 75.9°F1973: 75.4°F1974: 76.0°F1975: 75.3°F1976: 76.9°F1977: 76.6°F1978: 76.6°F1979: 75.6°F1980: 76.7°F1981: 76.3°F1982: 76.3°F1983: 76.1°F1984: 75.1°F1985: 75.3°F1986: 79.1°F1987: 79.3°F1988: 76.9°F1989: 77.9°F1990: 77.8°F1991: 77.7°F1992: 78.1°F1993: 78.7°F1995: 78.1°F1996: 77.9°F1997: 77.6°F1998: 77.9°F1999: 78.0°F2000: 77.6°F2001: 77.2°F2002: 78.1°F2003: 78.4°F2004: 76.7°F2005: 77.6°F2006: 77.9°F2007: 76.6°F2008: 77.3°F2009: 78.1°F2010: 77.0°F2011: 77.1°F2012: 77.4°Flong-term trend197119801990200020102012
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

0.0°+0.5°+1.0°+1.5°January: +1.4°F+1.4JFebruary: +0.8°F+0.8FMarch: +1.1°F+1.1MApril: +0.6°F+0.6AMay: +1.2°F+1.2MJune: +0.5°F+0.5JJuly: +0.1°F+0.1JAugust: +0.3°F+0.3ASeptember: +0.3°F+0.3SOctober: +0.4°F+0.4ONovember: +1.2°F+1.2NDecember: +0.2°F+0.2D

January has warmed the most — about 1.4°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — the official 1991–2020 climate normals from CONAGUA / SMN, Mexico's national weather service, measured at Guamuchil (aarsp), about 3 km from the city centre.

How we build these numbers →