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Has the climate in Paraiso changed?

Paraiso has warmed about 1°F between 1971 and 2012.

About 0.3°F per decade, measured from Paraiso's official daily weather records, 1971–2012. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Paraiso's warming is broadly in line with other cities in Mexico — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
about the same
1970s
0 / yr
Recent
0 / yr
Winters about as cold as before
Average temperature
about the same
1970s
79.4°F
Recent
79.6°F
Year-round temperature has barely moved
Hot days above 90°F
1 fewer day
1970s
164 / yr
Recent
163 / yr
Slightly fewer hot days
Rainy days
25 fewer days
1970s
112 / yr
Recent
87 / yr
Drier on average

Paraiso's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1971 to 2012.

70°72°74°76°78°80°82°84°1971: 79.3°F1972: 80.4°F1973: 79.8°F1974: 79.4°F1975: 80.1°F1976: 78.4°F1977: 79.6°F1978: 79.5°F1979: 78.7°F1980: 79.3°F1981: 79.2°F1982: 79.5°F1983: 79.8°F1985: 77.9°F1988: 78.5°F1990: 80.5°F1991: 81.8°F1992: 79.8°F1993: 80.8°F1994: 80.5°F1995: 79.7°F1996: 79.8°F1997: 79.9°F1998: 80.5°F1999: 79.6°F2000: 76.4°F2001: 71.9°F2002: 74.2°F2003: 81.6°F2004: 79.5°F2005: 82.4°F2006: 81.4°F2007: 82.6°F2009: 82.5°F2010: 80.0°F2011: 81.0°F2012: 81.9°Flong-term trend197119801990200020102012
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 18 more days above 90°F compared with the 1970s.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

-2.0°-1.5°-1.0°-0.5°0.0°+0.5°+1.0°+1.5°January: -1.6°F-1.6JFebruary: +0.3°F+0.3FMarch: +0.9°F+0.9MApril: +1.5°F+1.5AMay: +1.0°F+1.0MJune: +1.4°F+1.4JJuly: +0.6°F+0.6JAugust: +0.8°F+0.8ASeptember: +0.1°F+0.1SOctober: +0.3°F+0.3ONovember: +0.5°F+0.5NDecember: -0.7°F-0.7D

January has cooled the most — about 1.6°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — the official 1991–2020 climate normals from CONAGUA / SMN, Mexico's national weather service, measured at Paraiso, inside the city.

How we build these numbers →