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Has the climate in Piedras Negras changed?

Piedras Negras has warmed about 3°F between 1977 and 2024.

About 0.9°F per decade, measured from Piedras Negras's official daily weather records, 1977–2024. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Piedras Negras's climate has warmed faster than most other cities in Mexico.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
7 fewer nights
1970s
8 / yr
Recent
1 / yr
Milder winters — fewer frosts
Average temperature
+1.8°F
1970s
73.5°F
Recent
75.3°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
35 fewer days
1970s
157 / yr
Recent
122 / yr
Slightly fewer hot days
Rainy days
11 fewer days
1970s
41 / yr
Recent
30 / yr
Drier on average

Piedras Negras's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1977 to 2024.

70°72°74°76°78°1977: 71.7°F1991: 72.8°F1992: 71.6°F1994: 73.6°F1995: 72.7°F1996: 74.7°F1997: 72.1°F1998: 75.3°F1999: 74.8°F2000: 74.8°F2001: 74.4°F2002: 74.3°F2003: 73.6°F2004: 72.5°F2005: 75.4°F2006: 77.3°F2007: 72.8°F2008: 75.3°F2009: 75.9°F2010: 74.5°F2011: 77.3°F2012: 76.1°F2013: 73.4°F2014: 73.0°F2015: 73.5°F2016: 75.1°F2017: 75.7°F2018: 74.4°F2019: 75.7°F2020: 76.5°F2021: 75.7°F2022: 75.2°F2023: 76.5°F2024: 76.8°Flong-term trend19772000201020202024
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 3 fewer freezing nights a year and about 50 more days above 90°F compared with the 1970s.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

-1.0°-0.5°0.0°+0.5°+1.0°+1.5°+2.0°+2.5°+3.0°January: -0.5°F-0.5JFebruary: -1.0°F-1.0FMarch: +3.0°F+3.0MApril: +1.1°F+1.1AMay: -0.3°F-0.3MJune: +0.5°F+0.5JJuly: -0.8°F-0.8JAugust: +1.4°F+1.4ASeptember: -0.1°F-0.1SOctober: +1.1°F+1.1ONovember: +0.8°F+0.8NDecember: +0.5°F+0.5D

March has warmed the most — about 3.0°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — the official 1991–2020 climate normals from CONAGUA / SMN, Mexico's national weather service, measured at Palestina (dge), about 68 km from the city centre.

How we build these numbers →