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Has the climate in San Cristóbal de las Casas changed?

San Cristóbal de las Casas has warmed about 2.3°F between 1998 and 2020.

About 1.3°F per decade, measured from San Cristóbal de las Casas's official daily weather records, 1998–2020. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? San Cristóbal de las Casas's climate has warmed faster than most other cities in Mexico.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
3 fewer nights
1970s
5 / yr
Recent
2 / yr
Milder winters — fewer frosts
Average temperature
+1.9°F
1970s
59.5°F
Recent
61.4°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
about the same
1970s
0 / yr
Recent
0 / yr
About the same number of heat days
Rainy days
10 more days
1970s
89 / yr
Recent
99 / yr
Wetter on average

San Cristóbal de las Casas's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1998 to 2020.

57°59°61°63°1998: 60.2°F2001: 58.5°F2005: 60.3°F2006: 59.4°F2007: 59.6°F2008: 58.9°F2009: 59.0°F2010: 60.0°F2011: 59.6°F2012: 59.8°F2013: 60.2°F2014: 59.7°F2015: 60.8°F2016: 61.1°F2017: 60.6°F2018: 61.2°F2019: 62.4°F2020: 62.4°Flong-term trend199820102020
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

-1.5°-1.0°-0.5°0.0°+0.5°+1.0°+1.5°+2.0°+2.5°+3.0°January: -1.1°F-1.1JFebruary: -0.9°F-0.9FMarch: -1.3°F-1.3MApril: -0.2°F-0.2AMay: +1.0°F+1.0MJune: +2.0°F+2.0JJuly: +2.5°F+2.5JAugust: +1.7°F+1.7ASeptember: +1.8°F+1.8SOctober: +2.4°F+2.4ONovember: -0.9°F-0.9NDecember: -1.3°F-1.3D

July has warmed the most — about 2.5°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — the official 1991–2020 climate normals from CONAGUA / SMN, Mexico's national weather service, measured at La Cabaña, about 2 km from the city centre.

How we build these numbers →