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Has the climate in Tijuana changed?

Tijuana has warmed about 2.4°F since 1997.

About 0.8°F per decade, measured from Tijuana's official daily weather records, 1997–2025. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Tijuana's climate has warmed faster than most other cities in Mexico.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
1 fewer night
1970s
1 / yr
Recent
0 / yr
Milder winters — fewer frosts
Average temperature
+1.6°F
1970s
62.1°F
Recent
63.7°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
5 more days
1970s
8 / yr
Recent
13 / yr
More days of serious heat
Rainy days
13 fewer days
1970s
58 / yr
Recent
45 / yr
Drier on average

Tijuana's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1997 to 2025.

59°61°63°65°67°1997: 63.9°F1998: 61.4°F1999: 60.7°F2000: 62.1°F2001: 61.1°F2002: 61.1°F2003: 62.6°F2004: 62.4°F2005: 63.8°F2006: 64.1°F2007: 61.9°F2008: 63.3°F2009: 62.8°F2010: 60.8°F2011: 60.9°F2012: 62.4°F2013: 62.6°F2014: 65.6°F2015: 65.3°F2016: 64.5°F2017: 64.5°F2018: 64.4°F2019: 62.3°F2020: 64.2°F2021: 63.7°F2022: 64.0°F2023: 61.9°F2024: 63.0°F2025: 65.0°Flong-term trend19972000201020202025
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

-0.5°0.0°+0.5°+1.0°+1.5°+2.0°January: +0.9°F+0.9JFebruary: +1.4°F+1.4FMarch: +1.7°F+1.7MApril: +1.4°F+1.4AMay: -0.2°F-0.2MJune: +0.7°F+0.7JJuly: +1.3°F+1.3JAugust: +0.1°F+0.1ASeptember: +1.6°F+1.6SOctober: +0.8°F+0.8ONovember: +1.9°F+1.9NDecember: +0.2°F+0.2D

November has warmed the most — about 1.9°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — the official 1991–2020 climate normals from CONAGUA / SMN, Mexico's national weather service, measured at Presa Rodriguez, about 11 km from the city centre.

How we build these numbers →