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Has the climate in Tonalá changed?

Tonalá has warmed about 1.8°F between 1971 and 2008.

About 0.5°F per decade, measured from Tonalá's official daily weather records, 1971–2008. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Tonalá's warming is broadly in line with other cities in Mexico — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
about the same
1970s
0 / yr
Recent
0 / yr
Winters about as cold as before
Average temperature
+1.2°F
1970s
83.0°F
Recent
84.2°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
40 fewer days
1970s
326 / yr
Recent
286 / yr
Slightly fewer hot days
Rainy days
10 more days
1970s
100 / yr
Recent
110 / yr
Wetter on average

Tonalá's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1971 to 2008.

80°82°84°86°1971: 82.1°F1972: 83.6°F1973: 83.3°F1974: 82.7°F1975: 83.4°F1976: 83.1°F1977: 83.3°F1978: 83.1°F1979: 83.0°F1980: 83.2°F1981: 82.5°F1982: 82.7°F1983: 82.8°F1984: 81.7°F1985: 81.6°F1986: 81.7°F1987: 83.1°F1988: 82.8°F1989: 81.9°F1990: 82.8°F1991: 83.0°F1992: 82.7°F1993: 82.8°F1994: 82.5°F1995: 82.4°F1996: 83.1°F1997: 84.0°F1998: 84.2°F1999: 84.9°F2001: 84.7°F2002: 84.5°F2003: 84.8°F2004: 84.8°F2005: 84.5°F2007: 84.3°F2008: 84.1°Flong-term trend1971198019902008
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 23 fewer days above 90°F compared with the 1970s.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

-1.5°-1.0°-0.5°0.0°+0.5°+1.0°+1.5°+2.0°January: +1.6°F+1.6JFebruary: +1.3°F+1.3FMarch: +1.4°F+1.4MApril: +0.9°F+0.9AMay: +0.8°F+0.8MJune: +0.5°F+0.5JJuly: +0.4°F+0.4JAugust: +0.8°F+0.8ASeptember: +0.8°F+0.8SOctober: +0.5°F+0.5ONovember: +1.2°F+1.2NDecember: -1.0°F-1.0D

January has warmed the most — about 1.6°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — the official 1991–2020 climate normals from CONAGUA / SMN, Mexico's national weather service, measured at Arriaga (dge), about 24 km from the city centre.

How we build these numbers →