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Has the climate in Tulum changed?

Tulum has warmed about 2.6°F between 1998 and 2012.

About 2.0°F per decade, measured from Tulum's official daily weather records, 1998–2012. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Tulum's climate has warmed faster than most other cities in Mexico.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
about the same
1970s
0 / yr
Recent
0 / yr
Winters about as cold as before
Average temperature
+2.1°F
1970s
76.7°F
Recent
78.8°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
39 fewer days
1970s
100 / yr
Recent
61 / yr
Slightly fewer hot days
Rainy days
11 fewer days
1970s
106 / yr
Recent
95 / yr
Drier on average

Tulum's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1998 to 2012.

75°77°79°81°1998: 77.2°F1999: 76.7°F2000: 76.4°F2001: 76.7°F2004: 77.9°F2005: 77.6°F2006: 79.1°F2007: 80.2°F2008: 79.5°F2009: 79.7°F2010: 77.8°F2011: 79.0°F2012: 78.8°Flong-term trend1998200020102012
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 14 fewer days above 90°F compared with the 1970s.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

0.0°+0.5°+1.0°+1.5°+2.0°+2.5°+3.0°+3.5°+4.0°January: +0.9°F+0.9JFebruary: +2.2°F+2.2FMarch: +1.2°F+1.2MApril: +1.9°F+1.9AMay: +0.7°F+0.7MJune: +1.8°F+1.8JJuly: +2.3°F+2.3JAugust: +2.0°F+2.0ASeptember: +1.4°F+1.4SOctober: +1.7°F+1.7ONovember: +1.0°F+1.0NDecember: +3.7°F+3.7D

December has warmed the most — about 3.7°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — the official 1991–2020 climate normals from CONAGUA / SMN, Mexico's national weather service, measured at Tulum, about 2 km from the city centre.

How we build these numbers →