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Has the climate in Katima Mulilo changed?

Katima Mulilo has cooled about 3.6°F between 1982 and 2023.

About 0.9°F per decade, measured from Katima Mulilo's official daily weather records, 1982–2023. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Katima Mulilo's climate has warmed more slowly than most other cities across Africa.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
about the same
1970s
0 / yr
Recent
0 / yr
Winters about as cold as before
Average temperature
−2.5°F
1970s
79.1°F
Recent
76.7°F
A small downward drift
Hot days above 90°F
41 more days
1970s
23 / yr
Recent
64 / yr
More days of serious heat
Rainy days
5 fewer days
1970s
42 / yr
Recent
37 / yr
Drier on average

Katima Mulilo's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1982 to 2023.

73°75°77°79°81°83°1982: 81.1°F1983: 79.0°F1984: 79.2°F1985: 79.6°F1986: 78.4°F1987: 80.3°F1988: 79.8°F1989: 79.5°F1990: 80.7°F1991: 78.6°F1992: 78.0°F1995: 77.2°F1996: 77.5°F1997: 77.9°F1998: 76.7°F1999: 75.7°F2000: 75.8°F2001: 76.7°F2002: 77.9°F2003: 77.9°F2004: 75.7°F2005: 77.4°F2006: 74.7°F2007: 75.9°F2008: 74.8°F2009: 75.0°F2010: 76.7°F2011: 75.7°F2012: 76.7°F2013: 76.6°F2014: 76.7°F2015: 78.1°F2016: 77.3°F2017: 75.4°F2018: 78.7°F2019: 77.8°F2020: 75.9°F2021: 75.8°F2022: 75.2°F2023: 77.1°Flong-term trend198219902000201020202023
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 29 more days above 90°F compared with the 1970s.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

-5.0°-4.5°-4.0°-3.5°-3.0°-2.5°-2.0°-1.5°-1.0°-0.5°0.0°+0.5°+1.0°January: +0.8°F+0.8JFebruary: +0.2°F+0.2FMarch: -0.4°F-0.4MApril: -3.5°F-3.5AMay: -4.7°F-4.7MJune: -2.6°F-2.6JJuly: -0.7°F-0.7JAugust: -1.5°F-1.5ASeptember: -3.1°F-3.1SOctober: -1.3°F-1.3ONovember: -0.8°F-0.8NDecember: -0.3°F-0.3D

May has cooled the most — about 4.7°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — 1991–2020 normals computed from 13 years of daily observations at Kasane, a weather station, about 99 km from the city centre. The underlying daily records come from NOAA's global station network.

How we build these numbers →