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Has the climate in Tarlac City changed?

Tarlac City has warmed about 0.9°F between 1996 and 2018.

About 0.4°F per decade, measured from Tarlac City's official daily weather records, 1996–2018. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Tarlac City's warming is broadly in line with other cities in Philippines — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
about the same
1970s
0 / yr
Recent
0 / yr
Winters about as cold as before
Average temperature
+0.7°F
1970s
81.2°F
Recent
81.9°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
24 more days
1970s
230 / yr
Recent
254 / yr
More days of serious heat
Rainy days
9 fewer days
1970s
103 / yr
Recent
94 / yr
Drier on average

Tarlac City's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1996 to 2018.

79°81°83°1996: 80.8°F1997: 80.7°F1998: 82.4°F1999: 80.9°F2000: 80.7°F2001: 81.5°F2003: 81.6°F2004: 81.1°F2005: 81.2°F2006: 81.4°F2007: 81.3°F2008: 80.5°F2009: 80.4°F2010: 81.0°F2011: 80.1°F2012: 81.5°F2013: 81.8°F2014: 81.6°F2015: 81.5°F2016: 82.6°F2017: 82.3°F2018: 82.2°Flong-term trend1996200020102018
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 96 more days above 90°F compared with the 1970s.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

0.0°+0.5°+1.0°+1.5°+2.0°+2.5°+3.0°January: +1.7°F+1.7JFebruary: +1.4°F+1.4FMarch: +0.6°F+0.6MApril: +0.9°F+0.9AMay: +1.0°F+1.0MJune: +1.6°F+1.6JJuly: +1.5°F+1.5JAugust: +2.0°F+2.0ASeptember: +1.9°F+1.9SOctober: +1.9°F+1.9ONovember: +2.1°F+2.1NDecember: +2.8°F+2.8D

December has warmed the most — about 2.8°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — 1991–2020 normals computed from 21 years of daily observations at Cabanatuan, a weather station, about 38 km from the city centre. The underlying daily records come from NOAA's global station network.

How we build these numbers →