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Has the climate in Ełk changed?

Ełk has warmed about 3.6°F between 1991 and 2024.

About 1.1°F per decade, measured from Ełk's official daily weather records, 1991–2024. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Ełk's warming is broadly in line with other cities in Poland — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Average temperature
+2.5°F
1970s
44.3°F
Recent
46.9°F
A steady upward drift

Ełk's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1991 to 2024.

40°42°44°46°48°50°1991: 44.4°F1992: 45.1°F1993: 43.1°F1994: 44.5°F1995: 44.3°F1996: 41.5°F1997: 43.9°F1998: 43.8°F1999: 45.8°F2000: 46.7°F2001: 44.5°F2002: 46.0°F2003: 44.2°F2004: 44.1°F2005: 44.2°F2006: 44.9°F2007: 46.1°F2008: 46.4°F2009: 44.4°F2010: 43.3°F2011: 45.3°F2012: 43.9°F2013: 44.9°F2014: 46.1°F2015: 47.0°F2016: 45.7°F2017: 45.6°F2018: 46.8°F2019: 47.8°F2020: 48.1°F2021: 45.1°F2022: 46.1°F2023: 47.8°F2024: 49.4°Flong-term trend19912000201020202024
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — 1991–2020 normals computed from 30 years of daily observations at Suwalki, a weather station, about 51 km from the city centre. The underlying daily records come from NOAA's global station network.

How we build these numbers →