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Has the climate in Nalchik changed?

Nalchik has warmed about 5.9°F between 1973 and 2018.

About 1.3°F per decade, measured from Nalchik's official daily weather records, 1973–2018. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Nalchik's climate has warmed faster than most other cities in Russia.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
1 more night
1970s
107 / yr
Recent
108 / yr
Colder winters — more frosts
Average temperature
+3.9°F
1970s
47.2°F
Recent
51.1°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
7 more days
1970s
2 / yr
Recent
9 / yr
More days of serious heat
Rainy days
about the same
1970s
125 / yr
Recent
123 / yr
Rainfall pattern about the same

Nalchik's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1973 to 2018.

43°45°47°49°51°53°55°1973: 46.6°F1974: 47.1°F1975: 47.9°F1976: 44.8°F1977: 46.7°F1978: 47.0°F1979: 49.0°F1980: 47.5°F1981: 49.2°F1982: 46.5°F1983: 48.1°F1984: 46.2°F1985: 46.8°F1986: 47.8°F1987: 47.0°F1988: 46.9°F1989: 48.5°F1990: 49.1°F1991: 48.0°F1992: 46.0°F1993: 45.3°F1994: 47.9°F1995: 50.0°F1996: 47.7°F1997: 48.0°F1998: 50.0°F1999: 50.3°F2000: 50.0°F2001: 50.2°F2002: 49.2°F2003: 48.2°F2004: 49.6°F2005: 49.9°F2006: 49.7°F2007: 50.7°F2008: 49.6°F2009: 49.8°F2010: 52.7°F2011: 47.9°F2012: 50.2°F2013: 51.5°F2014: 51.4°F2015: 54.7°F2016: 53.0°F2017: 53.2°F2018: 52.1°Flong-term trend197319801990200020102018
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 3 fewer freezing nights a year and about 4 more days above 90°F compared with the 1970s.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

-0.5°0.0°+0.5°+1.0°+1.5°+2.0°+2.5°+3.0°+3.5°January: +2.4°F+2.4JFebruary: +3.0°F+3.0FMarch: +3.2°F+3.2MApril: -0.2°F-0.2AMay: +1.4°F+1.4MJune: +1.7°F+1.7JJuly: +1.7°F+1.7JAugust: +2.7°F+2.7ASeptember: +2.0°F+2.0SOctober: +1.8°F+1.8ONovember: +1.1°F+1.1NDecember: +0.7°F+0.7D

March has warmed the most — about 3.2°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — 1991–2020 normals computed from 28 years of daily observations at Vladikavkaz, a weather station, about 97 km from the city centre. The underlying daily records come from NOAA's global station network.

How we build these numbers →