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Has the climate in Norilsk changed?

Norilsk has warmed about 2.5°F between 1991 and 2024.

About 1.6°F per decade, measured from Norilsk's official daily weather records, 1991–2024. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Norilsk's climate has warmed faster than most other cities in Russia.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Average temperature
+2.5°F
1970s
18.0°F
Recent
20.6°F
A steady upward drift

Norilsk's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1991 to 2024.

12°14°16°18°20°22°24°26°1991: 13.7°F1993: 18.4°F1994: 15.0°F2012: 24.1°F2013: 19.1°F2014: 15.2°F2015: 19.5°F2016: 20.0°F2017: 19.3°F2018: 17.7°F2019: 20.9°F2020: 25.2°F2021: 15.5°F2022: 21.7°F2023: 19.3°F2024: 21.2°Flong-term trend199120202024
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — modelled for this location from ERA5-Land reanalysis, a ~9 km global grid, because no long-record weather station is close enough to use.

How we build these numbers →