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Has the climate in Smolensk changed?

Smolensk has warmed about 3.6°F between 1971 and 2018.

About 0.8°F per decade, measured from Smolensk's official daily weather records, 1971–2018. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Smolensk's warming is broadly in line with other cities in Russia — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
13 fewer nights
1970s
164 / yr
Recent
151 / yr
Milder winters — fewer frosts
Average temperature
+2.5°F
1970s
40.6°F
Recent
43.0°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
2 more days
1970s
0 / yr
Recent
2 / yr
More days of serious heat
Rainy days
about the same
1970s
178 / yr
Recent
179 / yr
Rainfall pattern about the same

Smolensk's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1971 to 2018.

36°38°40°42°44°46°1971: 40.4°F1972: 41.6°F1973: 40.3°F1974: 41.9°F1975: 43.7°F1976: 37.6°F1977: 40.2°F1978: 38.6°F1979: 40.5°F1980: 38.6°F1981: 42.0°F1982: 41.5°F1983: 43.0°F1984: 40.7°F1985: 38.2°F1986: 40.3°F1987: 37.2°F1988: 41.2°F1989: 44.5°F1990: 43.3°F1991: 42.4°F1992: 42.0°F1993: 40.1°F1994: 40.7°F1995: 42.5°F1996: 40.8°F1997: 40.8°F1998: 40.8°F1999: 43.6°F2000: 43.4°F2001: 42.4°F2002: 43.2°F2003: 41.6°F2004: 42.0°F2005: 42.3°F2006: 41.9°F2007: 43.9°F2008: 44.0°F2009: 42.5°F2010: 42.9°F2011: 43.4°F2012: 41.6°F2013: 43.3°F2014: 43.6°F2015: 45.2°F2016: 43.5°F2017: 43.3°F2018: 43.4°Flong-term trend197119801990200020102018
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 10 fewer freezing nights a year compared with the 1970s.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

0.0°+0.5°+1.0°+1.5°+2.0°+2.5°+3.0°January: +2.6°F+2.6JFebruary: +1.9°F+1.9FMarch: +2.1°F+2.1MApril: +1.7°F+1.7AMay: +1.0°F+1.0MJune: +0.1°F+0.1JJuly: +2.2°F+2.2JAugust: +1.9°F+1.9ASeptember: +1.8°F+1.8SOctober: +1.0°F+1.0ONovember: +1.6°F+1.6NDecember: +1.4°F+1.4D

January has warmed the most — about 2.6°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — 1991–2020 normals computed from 29 years of daily observations at Smolensk, a weather station, about 3 km from the city centre. The underlying daily records come from NOAA's global station network.

How we build these numbers →