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Has the climate in El Obeid changed?

How El Obeid's climate has changed

About 0.2°F per decade, measured from El Obeid's official daily weather records, 1973–2018. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? El Obeid's warming is broadly in line with other cities in Sudan — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
about the same
1970s
0 / yr
Recent
0 / yr
Winters about as cold as before
Average temperature
+0.3°F
1970s
81.6°F
Recent
81.9°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
146 more days
1970s
9 / yr
Recent
155 / yr
More days of serious heat
Rainy days
21 fewer days
1970s
36 / yr
Recent
15 / yr
Drier on average

El Obeid's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1973 to 2018.

72°74°76°78°80°82°84°86°88°1973: 83.4°F1974: 81.4°F1975: 83.3°F1976: 80.7°F1977: 80.0°F1978: 81.1°F1979: 81.5°F1980: 76.0°F1981: 83.1°F1982: 73.6°F1983: 85.3°F1984: 87.4°F1986: 81.4°F1987: 83.1°F1999: 81.4°F2000: 80.4°F2001: 80.7°F2006: 81.4°F2007: 81.6°F2008: 81.6°F2009: 83.3°F2017: 82.7°F2018: 82.0°Flong-term trend1973198020002018
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 43 more days above 90°F compared with the 1970s.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

-0.5°0.0°+0.5°+1.0°February: +0.0°F+0.0FMarch: +0.0°F+0.0MApril: -0.5°F-0.5ANovember: +0.2°F+0.2N

April has cooled the most — about 0.5°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — 1991–2020 normals computed from 17 years of daily observations at EL Obeid, a weather station, about 4 km from the city centre. The underlying daily records come from NOAA's global station network.

How we build these numbers →