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Has the climate in Mtwara changed?

How Mtwara's climate has changed

About 0.0°F per decade, measured from Mtwara's official daily weather records, 1973–2020. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Mtwara's warming is broadly in line with other cities in Tanzania — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
about the same
1970s
0 / yr
Recent
0 / yr
Winters about as cold as before
Average temperature
+0.7°F
1970s
77.9°F
Recent
78.6°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
60 more days
1970s
3 / yr
Recent
63 / yr
More days of serious heat
Rainy days
38 fewer days
1970s
102 / yr
Recent
64 / yr
Drier on average

Mtwara's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1973 to 2020.

73°75°77°79°81°83°1973: 79.5°F1974: 74.3°F1975: 79.1°F1976: 78.2°F1977: 78.7°F1978: 78.9°F1979: 78.0°F1980: 76.1°F1981: 79.0°F1982: 77.1°F1983: 78.7°F1984: 77.1°F1985: 80.3°F1986: 82.7°F1987: 82.3°F1988: 82.1°F1989: 80.1°F2005: 79.9°F2006: 78.4°F2007: 78.8°F2008: 78.5°F2009: 79.9°F2011: 78.9°F2012: 79.1°F2013: 79.2°F2014: 78.4°F2015: 78.6°F2016: 78.6°F2017: 78.5°F2018: 77.9°F2019: 78.7°F2020: 78.5°Flong-term trend197319802020
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 28 more days above 90°F compared with the 1970s.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — modelled for this location from ERA5-Land reanalysis, a ~9 km global grid, because no long-record weather station is close enough to use.

How we build these numbers →