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Has the climate in Mwanza changed?

Mwanza has warmed about 0.7°F between 1973 and 2020.

About 0.2°F per decade, measured from Mwanza's official daily weather records, 1973–2020. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Mwanza's warming is broadly in line with other cities in Tanzania — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
about the same
1970s
0 / yr
Recent
0 / yr
Winters about as cold as before
Average temperature
+0.8°F
1970s
73.3°F
Recent
74.1°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
6 more days
1970s
1 / yr
Recent
7 / yr
More days of serious heat
Rainy days
29 fewer days
1970s
108 / yr
Recent
79 / yr
Drier on average

Mwanza's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1973 to 2020.

71°73°75°77°1973: 73.5°F1974: 74.2°F1975: 73.7°F1976: 73.2°F1977: 72.9°F1978: 72.0°F1979: 72.3°F1980: 74.0°F1981: 73.8°F1982: 73.6°F1983: 74.1°F1984: 72.9°F1985: 73.1°F1986: 73.5°F1987: 73.9°F1988: 73.2°F1989: 72.6°F2005: 75.3°F2006: 73.8°F2007: 73.1°F2008: 73.2°F2009: 74.1°F2011: 73.5°F2012: 74.0°F2013: 74.1°F2014: 74.0°F2015: 74.0°F2016: 74.8°F2017: 74.9°F2018: 73.6°F2019: 74.6°F2020: 73.8°Flong-term trend197319802020
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 3 more days above 90°F compared with the 1970s.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — modelled for this location from ERA5-Land reanalysis, a ~9 km global grid, because no long-record weather station is close enough to use.

How we build these numbers →