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Has the climate in Tabora changed?

Tabora has warmed about 1.4°F between 1973 and 2020.

About 0.4°F per decade, measured from Tabora's official daily weather records, 1973–2020. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Tabora's warming is broadly in line with other cities in Tanzania — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
about the same
1970s
0 / yr
Recent
0 / yr
Winters about as cold as before
Average temperature
+1.6°F
1970s
73.1°F
Recent
74.7°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
36 more days
1970s
12 / yr
Recent
48 / yr
More days of serious heat
Rainy days
32 fewer days
1970s
103 / yr
Recent
71 / yr
Drier on average

Tabora's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1973 to 2020.

70°72°74°76°78°1973: 74.1°F1974: 72.2°F1975: 73.7°F1976: 73.4°F1977: 73.9°F1978: 72.5°F1979: 72.3°F1980: 72.4°F1981: 72.8°F1982: 72.6°F1983: 73.9°F1984: 73.7°F1985: 72.4°F1986: 74.0°F1987: 74.8°F1988: 75.6°F1989: 71.4°F2003: 75.2°F2005: 77.2°F2006: 74.7°F2007: 75.0°F2008: 74.1°F2009: 74.9°F2011: 75.0°F2012: 75.4°F2013: 75.1°F2014: 74.7°F2015: 75.0°F2016: 75.1°F2017: 75.2°F2018: 73.8°F2019: 74.6°F2020: 73.2°Flong-term trend197319802020
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 25 more days above 90°F compared with the 1970s.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — modelled for this location from ERA5-Land reanalysis, a ~9 km global grid, because no long-record weather station is close enough to use.

How we build these numbers →