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Has the climate in Simferopol changed?

Simferopol has warmed about 3°F between 1971 and 2014.

About 0.8°F per decade, measured from Simferopol's official daily weather records, 1971–2014. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Simferopol's warming is broadly in line with other cities in Ukraine — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
4 fewer nights
1970s
22 / yr
Recent
18 / yr
Milder winters — fewer frosts
Average temperature
+1.8°F
1970s
54.7°F
Recent
56.5°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
7 more days
1970s
2 / yr
Recent
9 / yr
More days of serious heat
Rainy days
36 fewer days
1970s
102 / yr
Recent
66 / yr
Drier on average

Simferopol's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1971 to 2014.

50°52°54°56°58°60°1971: 51.1°F1973: 54.3°F1974: 55.6°F1975: 56.7°F1976: 53.1°F1977: 54.7°F1978: 54.6°F1979: 56.0°F1980: 54.2°F1981: 56.5°F1982: 54.9°F1983: 55.1°F1984: 55.4°F1985: 53.0°F1986: 55.1°F1987: 52.9°F1988: 54.9°F1989: 55.6°F1990: 56.0°F1991: 55.0°F1992: 54.0°F1993: 53.7°F1994: 56.3°F1995: 55.8°F1996: 55.4°F1997: 53.9°F1998: 56.4°F1999: 57.2°F2000: 57.0°F2001: 56.7°F2002: 58.8°F2003: 55.1°F2005: 55.2°F2006: 55.1°F2013: 58.9°F2014: 58.5°Flong-term trend19711980199020002014
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 4 fewer freezing nights a year and about 3 more days above 90°F compared with the 1970s.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

0.0°+0.5°+1.0°+1.5°+2.0°+2.5°+3.0°+3.5°+4.0°+4.5°+5.0°+5.5°January: +2.6°F+2.6JFebruary: +2.5°F+2.5FMarch: +3.2°F+3.2MApril: +2.6°F+2.6AMay: +3.6°F+3.6MJune: +4.2°F+4.2JJuly: +4.6°F+4.6JAugust: +5.0°F+5.0ASeptember: +4.2°F+4.2SOctober: +4.1°F+4.1ONovember: +3.2°F+3.2NDecember: +3.0°F+3.0D

August has warmed the most — about 5.0°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — modelled for this location from ERA5-Land reanalysis, a ~9 km global grid, because no long-record weather station is close enough to use.

How we build these numbers →