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Has the climate in Jinja changed?

Jinja has warmed about 1.1°F between 1991 and 2024.

About 0.3°F per decade, measured from Jinja's official daily weather records, 1991–2024. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Jinja's warming is broadly in line with other cities across Africa — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Average temperature
+1.0°F
1970s
73.4°F
Recent
74.4°F
A steady upward drift

Jinja's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1991 to 2024.

71°73°75°77°1991: 73.7°F1992: 73.4°F1993: 73.7°F1994: 73.6°F1995: 73.3°F1996: 72.8°F1997: 73.6°F1998: 73.9°F1999: 73.4°F2000: 73.7°F2001: 72.7°F2002: 73.3°F2003: 74.0°F2004: 73.4°F2005: 74.8°F2006: 74.0°F2007: 73.0°F2008: 73.5°F2009: 75.1°F2011: 74.2°F2012: 73.7°F2013: 73.7°F2014: 74.8°F2015: 74.9°F2016: 75.6°F2017: 75.1°F2018: 73.8°F2019: 74.0°F2020: 73.2°F2021: 74.1°F2022: 73.6°F2023: 74.5°F2024: 74.7°Flong-term trend1991200020202024
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — 1991–2020 normals computed from 29 years of daily observations at Kisumu, a weather station, about 179 km from the city centre. The underlying daily records come from NOAA's global station network.

How we build these numbers →