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Has the climate in Carlisle changed?

Carlisle has warmed about 2°F between 1991 and 2024.

About 0.6°F per decade, measured from Carlisle's official daily weather records, 1991–2024. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Carlisle's warming is broadly in line with other cities in United Kingdom — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Average temperature
+1.5°F
1970s
48.6°F
Recent
50.1°F
A steady upward drift

Carlisle's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1991 to 2024.

45°47°49°51°1991: 48.5°F1992: 48.6°F1993: 47.7°F1994: 48.4°F1995: 48.8°F1996: 47.7°F1997: 49.9°F1998: 48.9°F1999: 49.2°F2000: 49.1°F2001: 47.3°F2002: 49.7°F2003: 49.7°F2004: 49.9°F2005: 49.6°F2006: 50.5°F2007: 50.2°F2008: 49.2°F2009: 49.4°F2010: 46.7°F2011: 50.0°F2012: 48.5°F2013: 48.8°F2014: 50.9°F2015: 49.3°F2016: 49.5°F2017: 49.8°F2018: 49.8°F2019: 49.6°F2020: 50.1°F2021: 49.7°F2022: 50.8°F2023: 50.9°F2024: 50.8°Flong-term trend19912000201020202024
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — 1991–2020 normals computed from 29 years of daily observations at Carlisle, a weather station, about 5 km from the city centre. The underlying daily records come from NOAA's global station network.

How we build these numbers →