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Has the climate in Casas Adobes changed?

Casas Adobes has warmed about 4.1°F between 1971 and 2012.

About 1.0°F per decade, measured from Casas Adobes's official daily weather records, 1971–2012. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Casas Adobes's climate has warmed faster than most other cities in United States.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
22 fewer nights
1970s
48 / yr
Recent
26 / yr
Milder winters — fewer frosts
Average temperature
+2.7°F
1970s
67.0°F
Recent
69.8°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
16 more days
1970s
150 / yr
Recent
166 / yr
More days of serious heat
Rainy days
11 fewer days
1970s
46 / yr
Recent
35 / yr
Drier on average

Casas Adobes's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1971 to 2012.

64°66°68°70°72°1971: 65.2°F1972: 65.7°F1973: 65.6°F1974: 66.7°F1975: 66.2°F1976: 67.2°F1977: 68.2°F1978: 68.4°F1979: 66.9°F1980: 68.3°F1981: 69.6°F1982: 67.0°F1983: 66.9°F1984: 66.6°F1985: 67.2°F1986: 68.9°F1987: 67.1°F1988: 67.3°F1989: 65.9°F1990: 66.9°F1991: 67.4°F1992: 68.4°F1993: 68.5°F1994: 68.9°F1995: 68.3°F1996: 69.0°F1997: 68.5°F1998: 67.6°F1999: 69.8°F2000: 69.9°F2001: 68.9°F2002: 69.7°F2003: 71.5°F2004: 68.3°F2005: 69.9°F2006: 70.4°F2007: 70.1°F2008: 68.7°F2009: 70.4°F2010: 69.5°F2011: 69.2°F2012: 70.5°Flong-term trend197119801990200020102012
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 14 fewer freezing nights a year and about 8 more days above 90°F compared with the 1970s.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

0.0°+0.5°+1.0°+1.5°+2.0°+2.5°+3.0°+3.5°January: +2.1°F+2.1JFebruary: +1.8°F+1.8FMarch: +3.0°F+3.0MApril: +2.8°F+2.8AMay: +2.2°F+2.2MJune: +2.2°F+2.2JJuly: +1.7°F+1.7JAugust: +1.9°F+1.9ASeptember: +1.8°F+1.8SOctober: +2.0°F+2.0ONovember: +2.9°F+2.9NDecember: +1.2°F+1.2D

March has warmed the most — about 3.0°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — the official 1991–2020 climate normals from NOAA's U.S. Climate Normals, measured at Tucson Camp Ave Exp (NOAA GHCN station USC00028796), about 7 km from the city centre.

How we build these numbers →