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Has the climate in Conway changed?

Conway has warmed about 1.8°F between 1971 and 2014.

About 0.4°F per decade, measured from Conway's official daily weather records, 1971–2014. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Conway's warming is broadly in line with other cities in United States — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
10 fewer nights
1970s
48 / yr
Recent
38 / yr
Milder winters — fewer frosts
Average temperature
+1.4°F
1970s
63.8°F
Recent
65.2°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
4 fewer days
1970s
63 / yr
Recent
59 / yr
Slightly fewer hot days
Rainy days
19 fewer days
1970s
111 / yr
Recent
92 / yr
Drier on average

Conway's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1971 to 2014.

60°62°64°66°68°1971: 63.8°F1972: 63.2°F1973: 64.5°F1974: 64.6°F1975: 64.9°F1976: 61.5°F1977: 64.1°F1978: 63.8°F1979: 63.4°F1980: 63.0°F1981: 62.9°F1982: 64.5°F1983: 63.5°F1984: 64.8°F1985: 65.7°F1986: 65.8°F1987: 63.8°F1988: 62.5°F1989: 63.6°F1990: 66.8°F1991: 65.4°F1992: 63.6°F1993: 63.2°F1994: 64.3°F1995: 63.4°F1996: 62.9°F1997: 63.3°F1998: 65.9°F1999: 63.4°F2000: 63.8°F2001: 64.7°F2002: 65.5°F2003: 64.2°F2004: 64.6°F2005: 64.3°F2006: 65.5°F2007: 66.8°F2008: 65.9°F2009: 64.6°F2010: 65.0°F2011: 65.5°F2012: 65.9°F2013: 63.4°F2014: 66.7°Flong-term trend197119801990200020102014
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 6 fewer freezing nights a year and about 4 fewer days above 90°F compared with the 1970s.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

-1.0°-0.5°0.0°+0.5°+1.0°+1.5°January: +0.8°F+0.8JFebruary: +0.8°F+0.8FMarch: -0.1°F-0.1MApril: +0.7°F+0.7AMay: +0.6°F+0.6MJune: +0.8°F+0.8JJuly: +0.5°F+0.5JAugust: +0.4°F+0.4ASeptember: +0.5°F+0.5SOctober: +1.0°F+1.0ONovember: -0.6°F-0.6NDecember: +0.9°F+0.9D

October has warmed the most — about 1.0°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — the official 1991–2020 climate normals from NOAA's U.S. Climate Normals, measured at Conway (NOAA GHCN station USC00381997), inside the city.

How we build these numbers →