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Has the climate in Eloise changed?

Eloise has warmed about 2°F between 1971 and 2007.

About 0.6°F per decade, measured from Eloise's official daily weather records, 1971–2007. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Eloise's warming is broadly in line with other cities in United States — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
4 fewer nights
1970s
5 / yr
Recent
1 / yr
Milder winters — fewer frosts
Average temperature
+1.7°F
1970s
72.3°F
Recent
74.1°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
9 fewer days
1970s
116 / yr
Recent
107 / yr
Slightly fewer hot days
Rainy days
about the same
1970s
112 / yr
Recent
110 / yr
Rainfall pattern about the same

Eloise's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1971 to 2007.

69°71°73°75°77°1971: 72.8°F1972: 72.7°F1973: 72.5°F1974: 73.5°F1975: 74.1°F1976: 70.5°F1977: 71.4°F1978: 72.6°F1979: 71.8°F1980: 72.6°F1981: 71.1°F1982: 73.2°F1983: 70.8°F1985: 74.1°F1986: 75.7°F1987: 72.3°F1988: 71.7°F1989: 75.6°F1990: 74.9°F1991: 75.7°F1993: 73.4°F1994: 74.5°F1995: 73.7°F1996: 72.9°F1997: 74.9°F1998: 75.2°F1999: 73.7°F2000: 73.8°F2001: 73.9°F2002: 74.0°F2003: 73.7°F2004: 73.0°F2005: 73.5°F2006: 74.3°F2007: 74.5°Flong-term trend19711980199020002007
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 3 fewer freezing nights a year and about 13 fewer days above 90°F compared with the 1970s.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

0.0°+0.5°+1.0°+1.5°+2.0°January: +0.2°F+0.2JFebruary: +1.8°F+1.8FMarch: +0.1°F+0.1MApril: +1.7°F+1.7AMay: +1.3°F+1.3MJune: +1.1°F+1.1JJuly: +1.4°F+1.4JAugust: +1.1°F+1.1ASeptember: +0.6°F+0.6SOctober: +1.4°F+1.4ONovember: +0.2°F+0.2NDecember: +0.9°F+0.9D

February has warmed the most — about 1.8°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — the official 1991–2020 climate normals from NOAA's U.S. Climate Normals, measured at Winter Haven (NOAA GHCN station USC00089707), about 2 km from the city centre.

How we build these numbers →