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Has the climate in Fairbanks changed?

Fairbanks has warmed about 2.5°F since 1971.

About 0.4°F per decade, measured from Fairbanks's official daily weather records, 1971–2025. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Fairbanks's warming is broadly in line with other cities in United States — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
2 fewer nights
1970s
219 / yr
Recent
217 / yr
Milder winters — fewer frosts
Average temperature
+1.2°F
1970s
27.8°F
Recent
29.0°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
about the same
1970s
0 / yr
Recent
0 / yr
About the same number of heat days
Rainy days
about the same
1970s
111 / yr
Recent
111 / yr
Rainfall pattern about the same

Fairbanks's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1971 to 2025.

22°24°26°28°30°32°34°1971: 23.9°F1972: 24.5°F1973: 27.1°F1974: 25.5°F1975: 26.1°F1976: 27.8°F1977: 27.9°F1978: 30.3°F1979: 27.6°F1980: 28.7°F1981: 32.1°F1982: 26.7°F1983: 28.7°F1984: 27.3°F1985: 27.4°F1986: 28.7°F1987: 30.6°F1988: 29.5°F1989: 27.6°F1990: 27.1°F1991: 28.6°F1992: 25.2°F1993: 31.5°F1994: 27.5°F1995: 28.3°F1996: 24.6°F1997: 28.6°F1998: 28.7°F1999: 23.7°F2000: 28.2°F2001: 28.5°F2002: 30.0°F2003: 29.1°F2004: 28.9°F2005: 29.2°F2006: 25.8°F2007: 27.8°F2008: 25.7°F2009: 27.8°F2010: 28.8°F2011: 27.9°F2012: 24.1°F2013: 28.3°F2014: 31.2°F2015: 30.1°F2016: 31.7°F2017: 29.7°F2018: 30.6°F2019: 32.6°F2020: 27.0°F2021: 28.2°F2022: 29.2°F2023: 29.8°F2024: 29.2°F2025: 30.0°Flong-term trend1971198019902000201020202025
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — the official 1991–2020 climate normals from NOAA's U.S. Climate Normals, measured at Fairbanks Intl AP (NOAA GHCN station USW00026411), about 8 km from the city centre.

How we build these numbers →