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Has the climate in Fayetteville changed?

Fayetteville has warmed about 2.1°F since 1971.

About 0.4°F per decade, measured from Fayetteville's official daily weather records, 1971–2025. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Fayetteville's warming is broadly in line with other cities in United States — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
14 fewer nights
1970s
73 / yr
Recent
59 / yr
Milder winters — fewer frosts
Average temperature
+1.6°F
1970s
60.8°F
Recent
62.4°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
2 fewer days
1970s
55 / yr
Recent
53 / yr
Slightly fewer hot days
Rainy days
6 fewer days
1970s
115 / yr
Recent
109 / yr
Drier on average

Fayetteville's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1971 to 2025.

57°59°61°63°65°1971: 61.6°F1972: 60.7°F1973: 62.0°F1974: 62.0°F1975: 62.7°F1976: 60.4°F1977: 61.5°F1978: 59.4°F1979: 60.3°F1980: 60.2°F1981: 59.1°F1982: 60.6°F1983: 60.2°F1984: 60.6°F1985: 61.5°F1986: 62.2°F1987: 60.7°F1988: 59.5°F1989: 60.9°F1990: 63.6°F1991: 63.0°F1992: 60.8°F1993: 61.4°F1994: 61.4°F1995: 60.7°F1996: 58.9°F1997: 60.2°F1998: 63.1°F1999: 61.9°F2001: 61.6°F2002: 62.5°F2003: 61.0°F2004: 61.5°F2005: 61.6°F2006: 61.8°F2007: 63.9°F2008: 64.2°F2009: 59.4°F2010: 61.3°F2011: 62.6°F2012: 62.7°F2013: 60.6°F2014: 60.3°F2015: 62.8°F2016: 62.8°F2017: 63.2°F2018: 63.1°F2019: 63.9°F2020: 63.8°F2021: 61.7°F2022: 62.3°F2023: 62.9°F2024: 63.1°F2025: 62.5°Flong-term trend197119801990201020202025
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 7 fewer freezing nights a year and about 2 fewer days above 90°F compared with the 1970s.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

-1.0°-0.5°0.0°+0.5°+1.0°+1.5°January: +1.4°F+1.4JFebruary: +1.1°F+1.1FMarch: +0.4°F+0.4MApril: +0.8°F+0.8AMay: +1.2°F+1.2MJune: +0.9°F+0.9JJuly: +0.7°F+0.7JAugust: +0.7°F+0.7ASeptember: +0.8°F+0.8SOctober: +1.4°F+1.4ONovember: -0.5°F-0.5NDecember: +1.2°F+1.2D

October has warmed the most — about 1.4°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — the official 1991–2020 climate normals from NOAA's U.S. Climate Normals, measured at Fayetteville (pwc) (NOAA GHCN station USC00313017), about 2 km from the city centre.

How we build these numbers →