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Has the climate in Fayetteville changed?

Fayetteville has warmed about 1.8°F between 1971 and 2022.

About 0.5°F per decade, measured from Fayetteville's official daily weather records, 1971–2022. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Fayetteville's warming is broadly in line with other cities in United States — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
30 fewer nights
1970s
88 / yr
Recent
58 / yr
Milder winters — fewer frosts
Average temperature
+1.5°F
1970s
58.1°F
Recent
59.6°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
2 more days
1970s
36 / yr
Recent
38 / yr
More days of serious heat
Rainy days
22 fewer days
1970s
92 / yr
Recent
70 / yr
Drier on average

Fayetteville's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1971 to 2022.

54°56°58°60°62°1971: 59.5°F1972: 58.8°F1973: 59.6°F1974: 59.2°F1975: 58.9°F1976: 56.9°F1977: 58.4°F1978: 56.8°F1979: 55.1°F1980: 58.6°F1981: 57.8°F1982: 57.2°F1983: 56.5°F1984: 57.1°F1985: 56.1°F1986: 58.8°F1987: 58.1°F1988: 57.5°F1989: 56.4°F1990: 59.6°F1991: 59.3°F1992: 57.8°F1993: 56.5°F1994: 56.7°F1995: 57.7°F1996: 56.7°F1997: 56.8°F1998: 61.3°F1999: 60.5°F2000: 59.9°F2001: 60.4°F2002: 56.4°F2007: 59.6°F2009: 57.6°F2010: 61.1°F2012: 61.3°F2021: 61.4°F2022: 58.9°Flong-term trend197119801990200020102022
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 29 fewer freezing nights a year and about 10 fewer days above 90°F compared with the 1970s.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

0.0°+0.5°+1.0°+1.5°+2.0°January: +1.5°F+1.5JFebruary: +0.6°F+0.6FMarch: +0.2°F+0.2MApril: +0.3°F+0.3AMay: +0.6°F+0.6MJune: +1.0°F+1.0JJuly: +0.2°F+0.2JAugust: +0.1°F+0.1ASeptember: +0.4°F+0.4SOctober: +0.1°F+0.1ONovember: +0.5°F+0.5NDecember: +0.5°F+0.5D

January has warmed the most — about 1.5°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — the official 1991–2020 climate normals from NOAA's U.S. Climate Normals, measured at Fayetteville Exp Stn (NOAA GHCN station USC00032444), about 5 km from the city centre.

How we build these numbers →