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Has the climate in Gainesville changed?

Gainesville has warmed about 2.2°F since 1984.

About 0.5°F per decade, measured from Gainesville's official daily weather records, 1984–2025. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Gainesville's warming is broadly in line with other cities in United States — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
2 fewer nights
1970s
13 / yr
Recent
11 / yr
Milder winters — fewer frosts
Average temperature
+1.7°F
1970s
69.0°F
Recent
70.6°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
23 more days
1970s
79 / yr
Recent
102 / yr
More days of serious heat
Rainy days
3 fewer days
1970s
117 / yr
Recent
114 / yr
Drier on average

Gainesville's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1984 to 2025.

66°68°70°72°74°1984: 68.7°F1985: 69.5°F1986: 69.8°F1987: 68.2°F1988: 67.6°F1989: 68.9°F1990: 70.6°F1991: 69.8°F1992: 67.9°F1993: 68.1°F1994: 69.5°F1995: 69.0°F1996: 68.3°F1997: 69.6°F1998: 71.4°F1999: 69.7°F2000: 68.5°F2001: 69.2°F2002: 69.5°F2003: 68.8°F2004: 69.3°F2005: 69.2°F2006: 69.1°F2007: 69.4°F2008: 68.6°F2009: 68.9°F2010: 67.8°F2011: 70.8°F2012: 70.7°F2013: 70.1°F2014: 68.3°F2015: 71.4°F2016: 70.6°F2017: 70.6°F2018: 71.1°F2019: 72.2°F2020: 70.6°F2021: 70.0°F2022: 70.4°F2023: 71.5°F2024: 70.6°F2025: 71.0°Flong-term trend198419902000201020202025
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 9 more days above 90°F compared with the 1970s.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

-1.0°-0.5°0.0°+0.5°+1.0°+1.5°January: -0.3°F-0.3JFebruary: +0.1°F+0.1FMarch: +0.1°F+0.1MApril: +1.1°F+1.1AMay: +0.2°F+0.2MJune: +0.4°F+0.4JJuly: +0.2°F+0.2JAugust: +0.5°F+0.5ASeptember: +0.6°F+0.6SOctober: +0.7°F+0.7ONovember: -0.6°F-0.6NDecember: +0.9°F+0.9D

April has warmed the most — about 1.1°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — the official 1991–2020 climate normals from NOAA's U.S. Climate Normals, measured at Gainesville Rgnl AP (NOAA GHCN station USW00012816), about 6 km from the city centre.

How we build these numbers →