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Has the climate in Middle River changed?

Middle River has warmed about 2.6°F since 1971.

About 0.5°F per decade, measured from Middle River's official daily weather records, 1971–2025. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Middle River's warming is broadly in line with other cities in United States — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
5 fewer nights
1970s
93 / yr
Recent
88 / yr
Milder winters — fewer frosts
Average temperature
+1.7°F
1970s
55.5°F
Recent
57.2°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
9 more days
1970s
29 / yr
Recent
38 / yr
More days of serious heat
Rainy days
10 more days
1970s
114 / yr
Recent
124 / yr
Wetter on average

Middle River's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1971 to 2025.

52°54°56°58°60°1971: 56.0°F1972: 54.8°F1973: 55.8°F1974: 55.5°F1975: 56.7°F1976: 55.0°F1977: 56.3°F1978: 54.8°F1979: 55.4°F1980: 55.3°F1981: 54.7°F1982: 54.6°F1983: 55.4°F1984: 54.9°F1985: 56.1°F1986: 55.9°F1987: 55.9°F1988: 55.0°F1989: 54.6°F1990: 58.0°F1991: 57.8°F1992: 54.5°F1993: 55.3°F1994: 56.3°F1995: 57.1°F1996: 53.9°F1997: 54.8°F1998: 57.7°F1999: 56.2°F2000: 54.7°F2001: 56.1°F2002: 56.8°F2003: 54.2°F2004: 55.7°F2005: 55.8°F2006: 57.5°F2007: 56.5°F2008: 55.8°F2009: 54.9°F2010: 57.0°F2011: 57.6°F2012: 58.7°F2013: 55.8°F2014: 54.1°F2015: 56.2°F2016: 57.2°F2017: 57.4°F2018: 56.8°F2019: 58.1°F2020: 58.8°F2021: 58.9°F2022: 57.5°F2023: 59.4°F2024: 58.7°F2025: 56.8°Flong-term trend1971198019902000201020202025
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 4 more days above 90°F compared with the 1970s.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

-0.5°0.0°+0.5°+1.0°+1.5°January: +1.1°F+1.1JFebruary: +0.4°F+0.4FMarch: -0.1°F-0.1MApril: +1.1°F+1.1AMay: +0.9°F+0.9MJune: +1.0°F+1.0JJuly: +0.9°F+0.9JAugust: +0.6°F+0.6ASeptember: +0.6°F+0.6SOctober: +0.8°F+0.8ONovember: +0.2°F+0.2NDecember: +0.9°F+0.9D

January has warmed the most — about 1.1°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — the official 1991–2020 climate normals from NOAA's U.S. Climate Normals, measured at Baltimore-washington Intl AP (NOAA GHCN station USW00093721), about 28 km from the city centre.

How we build these numbers →