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Has the climate in Missoula changed?

Missoula has warmed about 2.5°F between 1971 and 2012.

About 0.6°F per decade, measured from Missoula's official daily weather records, 1971–2012. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Missoula's warming is broadly in line with other cities in United States — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
5 fewer nights
1970s
170 / yr
Recent
165 / yr
Milder winters — fewer frosts
Average temperature
+1.8°F
1970s
44.5°F
Recent
46.3°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
9 more days
1970s
15 / yr
Recent
24 / yr
More days of serious heat
Rainy days
9 fewer days
1970s
138 / yr
Recent
129 / yr
Drier on average

Missoula's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1971 to 2012.

41°43°45°47°49°1971: 44.4°F1972: 43.7°F1973: 45.6°F1974: 45.6°F1975: 43.4°F1976: 44.9°F1977: 44.9°F1978: 43.6°F1979: 44.3°F1980: 44.7°F1981: 46.0°F1982: 43.5°F1983: 44.8°F1984: 44.4°F1985: 42.4°F1986: 45.8°F1987: 46.6°F1988: 46.8°F1989: 44.7°F1990: 45.6°F1991: 45.3°F1992: 46.7°F1993: 43.0°F1994: 47.4°F1995: 45.3°F1996: 43.6°F1997: 45.1°F1998: 47.9°F1999: 46.9°F2000: 45.9°F2001: 46.6°F2002: 45.2°F2003: 47.5°F2004: 46.8°F2005: 45.6°F2006: 47.4°F2007: 47.5°F2008: 44.8°F2009: 45.5°F2010: 46.0°F2011: 45.5°F2012: 47.7°Flong-term trend197119801990200020102012
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 6 fewer freezing nights a year and about 5 more days above 90°F compared with the 1970s.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

0.0°+0.5°+1.0°+1.5°+2.0°+2.5°January: +2.2°F+2.2JFebruary: +0.4°F+0.4FMarch: +0.8°F+0.8MApril: +0.0°F+0.0AMay: +1.2°F+1.2MJune: +0.5°F+0.5JJuly: +2.3°F+2.3JAugust: +1.4°F+1.4ASeptember: +2.0°F+2.0SOctober: +0.2°F+0.2ONovember: +1.1°F+1.1NDecember: +1.6°F+1.6D

July has warmed the most — about 2.3°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — the official 1991–2020 climate normals from NOAA's U.S. Climate Normals, measured at Missoula 2 NE (NOAA GHCN station USC00245735), about 4 km from the city centre.

How we build these numbers →