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Has the climate in Montpelier changed?

Montpelier has warmed about 4.2°F between 2001 and 2019.

About 2.2°F per decade, measured from Montpelier's official daily weather records, 2001–2019. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Montpelier's climate has warmed faster than most other cities in United States.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
48 more nights
1970s
106 / yr
Recent
154 / yr
Colder winters — more frosts
Average temperature
+1.8°F
1970s
43.4°F
Recent
45.2°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
7 fewer days
1970s
13 / yr
Recent
6 / yr
Slightly fewer hot days
Rainy days
39 more days
1970s
122 / yr
Recent
161 / yr
Wetter on average

Montpelier's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 2001 to 2019.

28°30°32°34°36°38°40°42°44°46°48°2001: 29.8°F2002: 46.7°F2003: 43.1°F2004: 47.0°F2005: 46.6°F2006: 47.3°F2007: 44.7°F2008: 44.9°F2009: 44.3°F2010: 46.8°F2011: 46.4°F2012: 47.8°F2013: 45.1°F2014: 43.7°F2015: 44.6°F2016: 46.8°F2017: 46.6°F2018: 45.0°F2019: 44.4°Flong-term trend200120102019
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 136 more freezing nights a year and about 10 more days above 90°F compared with the 1970s.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

0.0°+0.5°+1.0°+1.5°+2.0°+2.5°+3.0°+3.5°+4.0°+4.5°January: +3.0°F+3.0JFebruary: +2.8°F+2.8FMarch: +1.6°F+1.6MApril: +2.4°F+2.4AMay: +1.8°F+1.8MJune: +2.7°F+2.7JJuly: +2.9°F+2.9JAugust: +3.5°F+3.5ASeptember: +4.2°F+4.2SOctober: +3.0°F+3.0ONovember: +3.1°F+3.1NDecember: +4.1°F+4.1D

September has warmed the most — about 4.3°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — the official 1991–2020 climate normals from NOAA's U.S. Climate Normals, measured at Montpelier 2 (NOAA GHCN station USC00435273), about 2 km from the city centre.

How we build these numbers →