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Has the climate in Tracy changed?

Tracy has warmed about 2.5°F since 1971.

About 0.5°F per decade, measured from Tracy's official daily weather records, 1971–2025. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Tracy's warming is broadly in line with other cities in United States — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
16 fewer nights
1970s
33 / yr
Recent
17 / yr
Milder winters — fewer frosts
Average temperature
+1.6°F
1970s
59.6°F
Recent
61.2°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
2 more days
1970s
62 / yr
Recent
64 / yr
More days of serious heat
Rainy days
about the same
1970s
56 / yr
Recent
54 / yr
Rainfall pattern about the same

Tracy's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1971 to 2025.

56°58°60°62°64°1971: 58.0°F1972: 58.0°F1973: 60.8°F1974: 60.2°F1975: 58.1°F1976: 59.2°F1977: 60.1°F1978: 60.7°F1979: 59.6°F1980: 59.7°F1981: 61.1°F1982: 57.7°F1983: 59.7°F1984: 59.8°F1985: 59.3°F1986: 60.2°F1987: 59.8°F1988: 61.0°F1989: 59.6°F1990: 60.1°F1991: 60.1°F1992: 61.4°F1993: 60.3°F1994: 60.1°F1995: 61.1°F1996: 61.8°F1997: 61.5°F1998: 59.5°F1999: 60.0°F2000: 60.8°F2001: 61.7°F2002: 60.8°F2003: 61.4°F2004: 61.1°F2005: 61.2°F2006: 60.9°F2007: 60.6°F2008: 60.9°F2009: 60.7°F2010: 59.7°F2011: 59.4°F2012: 60.9°F2013: 60.6°F2014: 63.4°F2015: 62.0°F2016: 61.4°F2017: 61.6°F2018: 60.6°F2019: 60.6°F2021: 61.6°F2022: 62.1°F2023: 61.1°F2024: 63.0°F2025: 61.3°Flong-term trend197119801990200020102025
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 13 fewer freezing nights a year and about 2 fewer days above 90°F compared with the 1970s.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

-0.5°0.0°+0.5°+1.0°January: +0.7°F+0.7JFebruary: -0.1°F-0.1FMarch: +0.7°F+0.7MApril: +0.3°F+0.3AMay: +0.5°F+0.5MJune: +0.5°F+0.5JJuly: +0.8°F+0.8JAugust: +0.7°F+0.7ASeptember: +0.7°F+0.7SOctober: +0.2°F+0.2ONovember: +0.4°F+0.4NDecember: +0.9°F+0.9D

December has warmed the most — about 0.9°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — the official 1991–2020 climate normals from NOAA's U.S. Climate Normals, measured at Livermore (NOAA GHCN station USC00044997), about 29 km from the city centre.

How we build these numbers →