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Has the climate in Fergana changed?

Fergana has warmed about 4.6°F between 1971 and 2024.

About 0.8°F per decade, measured from Fergana's official daily weather records, 1971–2024. Individual years still bounce around — some recent ones came in cool — but the long-term line has clearly risen.

Is that a lot? Fergana's warming is broadly in line with other cities in Uzbekistan — neither unusually fast nor unusually slow.

What has actually changed

Each card compares the 1970s (the first ten years of the record) with recent years (the last ten) — the same span the headline and the chart use.

Freezing nights
51 fewer nights
1970s
83 / yr
Recent
32 / yr
Milder winters — fewer frosts
Average temperature
+2.8°F
1970s
56.8°F
Recent
59.6°F
A steady upward drift
Hot days above 90°F
11 more days
1970s
75 / yr
Recent
86 / yr
More days of serious heat
Rainy days
53 fewer days
1970s
53 / yr
Recent
0 / yr
Drier on average

Fergana's temperature, year by year

Average temperature for each year from 1971 to 2024.

52°54°56°58°60°62°1971: 57.1°F1972: 53.5°F1973: 56.8°F1974: 55.3°F1975: 56.6°F1976: 56.2°F1977: 57.8°F1978: 56.8°F1979: 57.7°F1980: 57.5°F1981: 57.8°F1982: 56.7°F1983: 57.5°F1984: 54.9°F1985: 57.1°F1986: 57.4°F1987: 57.2°F1988: 58.6°F1989: 56.2°F1990: 58.2°F1991: 57.1°F1992: 57.1°F1993: 56.0°F1994: 57.8°F1995: 58.1°F1996: 56.3°F1997: 58.5°F1998: 58.1°F1999: 58.3°F2000: 58.8°F2001: 59.0°F2002: 58.9°F2003: 58.0°F2004: 59.4°F2005: 58.9°F2006: 59.2°F2007: 59.1°F2008: 58.2°F2009: 58.7°F2010: 59.1°F2011: 58.8°F2012: 57.9°F2013: 59.6°F2014: 58.0°F2015: 59.9°F2016: 61.3°F2017: 60.2°F2018: 59.8°F2019: 61.0°F2020: 59.6°F2021: 60.1°F2022: 60.5°F2023: 61.4°F2024: 60.4°Flong-term trend1971198019902000201020202024
a warmer-than-average year a cooler-than-average year

Each bar is one year. Most recent years sit above the older ones. Some recent years still came in cool — warming is a slope, not a straight climb.

In day-to-day terms, that long-term shift shows up as about 26 fewer freezing nights a year and about 7 more days above 90°F compared with the 1970s.

When in the year the change shows up

How much warmer each month is now than in the 1970s. Useful if you garden or care about a particular season — otherwise the headline above already has the answer.

0.0°+0.5°+1.0°+1.5°+2.0°+2.5°+3.0°+3.5°January: +1.7°F+1.7JFebruary: +3.2°F+3.2FMarch: +2.4°F+2.4MApril: +0.5°F+0.5AMay: +1.0°F+1.0MJune: +0.8°F+0.8JJuly: +1.0°F+1.0JAugust: +1.8°F+1.8ASeptember: +1.7°F+1.7SOctober: +1.5°F+1.5ONovember: +0.7°F+0.7NDecember: +0.1°F+0.1D

February has warmed the most — about 3.2°F. The warming runs across the whole year, not just one season.

Methodology & sources

Temperature — 1991–2020 normals computed from 29 years of daily observations at Fergana, a weather station, about 4 km from the city centre. The underlying daily records come from NOAA's global station network.

How we build these numbers →